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in the 1981-2010 climatology. Orange and red shading represent values above the 80th (Warm) and 90th (Hot) percentile, respectively; regions shaded in light and dark blue indicate values below the 20th (Cool) and 10th (Cold) percentile, with respect to the 1981-2010 climatology. The data used in this map

in the 1981-2010 climatology. Orange and red shading represent values above the 80th (Warm) and 90th (Hot) percentile, respectively; regions shaded in light and dark blue indicate values below the 20th (Cool) and 10th (Cold) percentile, with respect to the 1981-2010 climatology. The data used

to the Climate Prediction Centre, La Niña conditions ate present with a La Niña Advisory issued. All indices are currently negative and point to La Niña conditions with some atmospheric response evident, with these conditions to remain over the coming few months, returning to neutral early next year. 3

of Metrology in Australia (BoM) have declared that La Niña is present. According to the latest forecasts, from the WMO Global Producing Centres for Seasonal Prediction, La Niña is the most likely outcome over the next few months. For January–March, the likelihood of returning to ENSO-neutral conditions

(November-January). However, other centres (such as BoM) have predictions which are much more finely balanced between ENSO-neutral and La Niña. Clearly, there is some uncertainty with predictions. Most likely is that ENSOneutral conditions will persist for the next couple of months, with any transition

to be declared. In contrast, according to the Climate Prediction Centre, La Niña conditions are present with a La Niña Advisory issued. All indices are currently negative and point to La Niña conditions with some atmospheric response evident, with these conditions to remain over the coming few months

, the rainfall patterns over the next 3-6 months are expected to be strongly influenced by the ongoing mature La Niña event across the tropical Pacific. 3-Month Outlook December to February - Rainfall The latest statement from the NOAA Climate Prediction Centre / NCEP states that “La Niña is likely

and the Bureau of Metrology in Australia (BoM) state that La Niña is currently present. According to the latest forecasts from the WMO Global Producing Centres for Seasonal Prediction, the La Niña event will come to an end over the coming months. For February–April, the likelihood of returning to ENSOneutral

Global: July to April Overview 5 Global Outlook - Rainfall El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) –Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BoM) considers ENSO to be neutral with the conditions not yet being met for a La Niña event to be declared. In contrast, according to the Climate Prediction Centre, La

conditions should take place during the first half of next year. However, over the next few months there is ~95% chance of La Niña continuing. The latest NOAA Climate Prediction Centre / NCEP statement (PDF) states that: “La Niña is expected to continue through the Northern Hemisphere winter 2020