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of this. More information on typical impacts can be found here https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/seasonal-to-decadal/gpc-outlooks/elnino-la-nina/enso-impacts . For the next three months and consistent with a typical La Niña influence, Asia, southern Africa and northern parts of South

Rosemary Eade Dr John Kennedy Rachel McCarthy Dr Colin Morice Dr Matthew Palmer Dr Doug Smith Dr Peter Stott References Alexander, M. A., 2010: Extratropical Air-Sea Interaction, SST Variability and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO). Climate Dynamics: Why does Climate Vary, Editors D. Sun and F

in the tropical Pacific Ocean. Even as La Niña weakens, it can continue to influence global weather and climate. However, this effect is likely to be short-lived, probably only lasting a few more weeks. 3-Month Outlook April to June - Rainfall ENSO-neutral is expected to prevail during the northern

details about GloSea5, see http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/seasonal-to-decadal/gpc-outlooks/userguide/technical-glosea5. For most of the region shown in figure 1a and b, the combined (GloSea5 plus statistical) forecast probabilities for the above average rainfall tercile category are centred

Asia: Monthly Climate Outlook November to August Issued: February 2026 Overview Current Status Outlooks Annex 1 – Supplemental Information Climate Outlook Asia: November to August Overview Asia Current Status and Outlook – Temperature Asia Current Status and Outlook – Rainfall Global Outlook

, these projections should be viewed as indicative of the overall magnitude of changes we might see over the 21 st Century. For both the surge and wave projections, we are unable to quantify the relative influence of the climate change signal and natural variability on the simulated changes over the 21

and flash flooding Influence of North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) Daily precipitation extremes in winter Severe convective wind gusts Positive (NAO) LOW HIGH Influence of North Atlantic Storm Track Urban changes Figure 1 Schematic of the spatial resolution of UKCP18 climate models and the implications

Asia: Monthly Climate Outlook November to August Issued: February 2025 Overview Current Status Outlooks Annex 1 – Supplemental Information Climate Outlook Asia: November to August Overview Asia Current Status and Outlook – Temperature Asia Current Status and Outlook – Rainfall Global Outlook

for climate variability and climate change (including the influence of human activity) 3. Describe the impacts in terms of possible changes to global circulation, primary weather elements and effects on society 4. Outline the adaptation and mitigation strategies that might be applied and describe

summer sunshine. After that, however, the jet stream shifted much further to the south, with low-pressure systems often bringing rather wet and windy conditions to the UK through much of July and August. “The characteristic variability of the UK’s climate has once again been illustrated by this summer