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southern hemisphere storms in 2014-15 season The southern hemisphere saw fewer tropical cyclones than last season, although they lasted longer. Thus there were more verifiable forecasts. Track forecast errors were higher than last season, but at most forecast times on a par with the previous few

”. In this study, RCMs have been used to downscale a selection of CMIP5 GCM simulations over a domain that includes the Philippines Area of Responsibility (PAR) and the main development region of TCs in the Western North Pacific (WNP) Ocean. Downscaling at high spatial resolutions is required to simulate small

, cancellations and closures on the railways and a number of roads. Trains between Newquay and Par were suspended due to flooding, and the A30 was closed near Bodmin due to debris being washed onto the road. On the 18th, further flooding caused disruption across the south-west. There was flooding

? Beth mae’n gwneud i chi feddwl amdano? Beth yw rhai o effeithiau newid yn yr hinsawdd? Sut y gallai newid yn yr hinsawdd effeithio ar bobl ledled y byd? Ar ôl iddynt gael peth amser i drafod, dewch yn ôl at eich gilydd fel grŵp a chael pob pâr i rannu un neu fwy o’u meddyliau gyda’r dosbarth

in remote training again. When asked if the training course met their expectations, the responses were on par with face-to-face training which was encouraging given the time and resources which had been dedicated to developing and delivering this training. Impact Based Forecasting for Early Action

forecast. The group were also informed about the Met Office National Meteorological Library and Archive service which has received accreditation from the National Archive. This is a very positive outcome and means the service is on a par with archives such as the V&A and Imperial War Museum in terms

resolution. This is the first time anywhere, that national climate scenarios are being provided at a resolution on par with current operational weather forecast models. And is a major step forward in national climate capability, allowing us to look at future changes in hourly rainfall and also

, and the rail line between Par and Newquay was flooded. Persistent rain also caused problems in the north from 23rd to 24th, with flooding, fallen trees and debris causing disruption to trains across Scotland and some road closures. Cumbria was also affected by localised surface water flooding with some

projections produced for the UK, for the first time on a par with the resolution used for weather forecasting. They provide information to help society to understand how much the climate might change in future, enabling comprehensive adaptation planning to inform how to protect people

notably higher than average, the rainfall was on par with 2008, making the series of three summers from 2007 to 2009 the wettest on record. 5 As this example illustrates, even a relatively strong “most likely” outcome in the seasonal forecast does not preclude the “less likely” outcomes