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  • Met Office 10-day trend: Mild November continues as unsettled weather approaches

    developing. However, this is not expected to bring a sharp drop in temperatures, as the North Sea and near continent are not particularly cold at present. Instead, temperatures will likely return closer to average. Uncertainty and the role of high pressure Probability plots for next week suggest that high

  • Week ahead forecast: Milder conditions but heavy rain possible later in the week

    on Wednesday. This will allow temperatures to drop sharply overnight, bringing a notably chilly start. Many rural areas are likely to experience a frost, with a risk of icy patches. A yellow weather warning for ice has been issued. Despite the cold beginning, Wednesday looks likely to be the best

  • 10‑day trend: spring warmth holds on before changeable conditions return

    to lift to around 14 or 15°C. Clear skies at night will allow temperatures to fall sharply away from cloudier eastern areas, bringing chilly starts and a widespread frost in places. These large day‑to‑night temperature swings are typical under spring high‑pressure systems. Subtle shifts bring

  • SPF City Pack_editable_template

    of weather that the region experiences across a year: Due to the relative distance of the Midlands from the sea, the annual average temperature range is relatively large. Sharp winter frosts are common and very hot days may also occur in summer. Winter mean daily minimum temperatures are below 0°C

  • Deep dive: Understanding an exceptional winter and the weather patterns behind it

    and wind direction can create sharp rainfall gradients. For instance, Aberdeen recorded around 120mm of rain in the first nine days of February, while Aviemore, protected by mountains, saw only about 2mm during the same period. These contrasts illustrate the profound effect of flow direction on local

  • Deep Dive: Understanding this winter’s remarkably persistent weather pattern

    to the broader North Atlantic region. Analysis of temperature anomalies between 20 January and 3 February shows marked warmth across northern Canada and Greenland and unusually cold conditions across parts of the USA, Scandinavia and northeast Europe. This sharp contrast has strengthened the jet stream

  • Week Ahead forecast: Seasonal shift becoming increasingly apparent

    . High pressure is firmly in control, keeping the weather settled and largely dry, but also allowing temperatures to drop sharply after dark. High pressure dominates: Dry, settled days for most For much of the week, high pressure will be the main influence on our weather. This means that most areas

  • Deep Dive: UK heat and tropical cyclones

    or exceed these values in places, temperatures are not expected to remain widely above thresholds for long enough to qualify. That said, this is still a notable early‑season warm spell. READ MORE: What is a heatwave? A sharp change later in the week The warmth will not last. A cold front pushing

  • Arctic and Antarctic end-of-season report - October 2023

    years in the satellite era with estimates of statistical significance overlaid. The figure demonstrates that for a long time Antarctic sea ice extent was characterised by gently, then sharply rising trends (left and centre of figure) but more recently by rapid decline (top right). The persistent low

  • Met Office 10-Day Trend: High pressure dominating, but for how long?

    minutes less daylight in parts of Scotland. As the nights draw in, clear skies will mean temperatures dip away more sharply. The weekend: Settled, but with local variation Looking ahead to the coming weekend, high pressure will once again be the dominant feature, shifting eastward and maintaining dry

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