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climate and the loss of the cooling influence of La Niña, most land areas are likely to be warmer than normal. Exceptions to this include northeast Brazil where temperatures are likely to be near-normal. Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Likely Much More Likely Climate

AFRICA: Monthly Climate Outlook February to November Issued: May 2023 Overview Current Status Outlooks Annex 1 – Supplemental Information Climate Outlook Africa: February to November Overview Africa Current Status and Outlook – Temperature Africa Current Status and Outlook – Rainfall Global Outlook

AFRICA: Monthly Climate Outlook July to April Issued: October 2022 Overview Current Status Outlooks Annex 1 – Supplemental Information Climate Outlook Africa: July to April Overview Africa Current Status and Outlook – Temperature Africa Current Status and Outlook – Rainfall Global Outlook

Normal Likely Likely Much More Likely Climate Outlook Africa: February to November Overview 5 Global Outlook - Rainfall Outlook: As described in the temperature section, the influences of the recent La Niña is reduced in the forecast and predictability is lower than if ENSO was in an active phase

mobility is influenced by many different factors, but there is no clear evidence that it is driven by climate change (3.4.2). The wider Asian and global evidence 5 base indicates that climate-related shocks and slower changes in climate-related environmental conditions can contribute to both

AFRICA: Monthly Climate Outlook March to December Issued: June 2020 Overview Current Status Outlooks Annex 1 – Supplemental Information Climate Outlook Africa: March to December Overview Africa Current Status and Outlook – Temperature Africa Current Status and Outlook – Rainfall Global Outlook

Global: Monthly Climate Outlook October to July Issued: January 2025 Overview Current Status Outlooks Annex 1 – Supplemental Information Climate Outlook Global: October to July Overview MENA, Caribbean and British Overseas Territories Current Status and Outlook – Temperature MENA, Caribbean

Global: Monthly Climate Outlook September to June Issued: December 2024 Overview Current Status Outlooks Annex 1 – Supplemental Information Climate Outlook Global: September to June Overview MENA, Caribbean and British Overseas Territories Current Status and Outlook – Temperature MENA, Caribbean

tracked east. Wind direction can be an important factor influencing the likely number of fallen trees. A recent example of this was storm Arwen in late November 2021, where the strongest winds were also from a northerly direction. Wind observations for the UK show fewer occurrences of gusts exceeding

-day rainfall totals for selected rain-gauges in the wettest areas of Dartmoor and South Wales. Several locations received well over 150mm of rain. The rainfall map and the relatively higher elevation of the majority of these locations (mostly 250 to 400 masl) illustrates the influence of the hills