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An assessment of 12 dynamical seasonal prediction systems is conducted, assessing their ability to predict South Asian seasonal precipitation during the two key monsoon seasons; southwest (June to September (JJAS)) and northeast (October to November (OND)). This research has been conducted as part

) Srivastava et al. (2018) WMO (2008) Rajeevan et al. (2008) 2.1.2 Case study: Floods across South Asia region in 2007 The 2007 summer monsoon led to widespread flooding across the South Asia region, the main areas affected are shown in Figure 6. Over the duration of the monsoon season, 2000 people

, for example through including additional variables, such as temperature which has been routinely included in the SASCOF forecast process since 2021. Consideration could also be made for additional key seasons for specific regions in South Asia, such as the peak wet season in Afghanistan and Pakistan during

and September. So, if we already know the “typical” weather in a season – that is, the “climate”, then why do we need a forecast? Well a season’s characteristics naturally vary from one year to another; for example, a mild and wet winter one year may be followed by a cold and dry winter the next

the eastern Caribbean was drier than normal, despite an active tropical cyclone season. The only area that were wetter than normal was the far west of Cuba, where tropical cyclone impacts did occur. Outlook: Below normal rainfall is likely across the Middle East and North Africa during the next 3-6

(dry season). Climate Outlook Africa: July to April Current Status 10 Current Status – Central Africa Current Status: Temperature Current Status: Rainfall July August September July August September Niger Warm Normal Normal Wet^^ Wet^^ Wet^^ Chad Normal Normal Normal Wet^^ Wet^^ Wet^^ DRC Warm^ Warm

Report Understanding and quantifying extreme precipitation events in South Asia Part III – Observational datasets for the assessment of present day monsoon-season rainfall extremes in Nepal CARISSA Activity 4: Climate services for the water and hydropower sectors in South Asia March 2022 Delivery

Rains’ season (March to May) there is considerable regional variation. The Horn of Africa region is likely to be drier than normal, however parts of South Sudan and Tanzania likely to be wetter than normal. Parts of West Africa along the Gulf of Guinea are likely to be wetter than normal. Below

regions experiencing wetter than normal conditions and other regions drier than normal conditions.​ With the development of El Niño, the chance of heatwaves, drought and wildfire increases across parts of southern and southeast Asia and Australia, and wetter than normal conditions may

) Note: Wet in the west * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). Climate Outlook Global: August to May Current Status 10 Current Status – MENA – North Africa Current Status: Temperature Current Status: Rainfall August September October August September