Millfire weather

Headline:

Bright morning but rain, heavy in west this afternoon

Today:

Mainly dry morning with sunny spells, although increasing cloud brings rain to Galloway by midday. The rain edges east this afternoon, becoming persistent and heavy across Dumfries and Galloway, although the east coast should remain dry. Freshening southerly winds. Maximum temperature 21 °C.

Tonight:

A very wet evening with some heavy rain, most persistent across Dumfries and Galloway. Overnight the rain gradually becomes lighter and patchier with a few clear spells developing in east. Minimum temperature 13 °C.

Monday:

A mostly cloudy start with outbreaks of rain, especially in west. However it becomes drier and brighter through the morning to leave spells of very warm sunshine for the afternoon. Maximum temperature 24 °C.

Outlook for Tuesday to Thursday:

Mainly dry with sunny spells on Tuesday. Overnight thundery rain soon clears north Wednesday morning with sunny spells developing. Rather cloudy Thursday with rain or thundery showers. Very warm throughout.

Updated: 04:00 (UTC+1) on Sun 21 Jul 2019

A cold front is likely to make some progress eastwards across the UK on Thursday, with the potential for heavy showers and thunderstorms. Some hot or very hot conditions may persist in the east ahead of this, especially in the southeast. Into the weekend, confidence falls low, but following the cold front, fresher conditions will be the most likely. A northwest to southeast split will be the most likely scenario. The northwest is likely to see further spells of rain and strong winds at times, with temperatures near or a little below average. The south and southeast are likely to see localised heavy rain, with thunderstorms possible, but it will stay warm or very warm into the start of August.

Updated: 04:00 (UTC+1) on Sun 21 Jul 2019

As we move into early August, the final month of the meteorological summer, confidence is low in the forecast with no one single weather pattern looking to dominate. It is most likely that low pressure to the north and northwest of the UK will give further rise to showers or longer spells of rain in the northwest, with the better chance of drier weather in the southeast. Temperatures will likely be above average, perhaps mostly in western and southern areas. However, confidence falls as we head through August.

Updated: 04:00 (UTC+1) on Sun 21 Jul 2019