Ayr weather

Headline:

Bright or sunny spells on Wednesday but showers developing

Today:

Bright or sunny spells, though a rather cloudy start, especially over Lanark and Ayrshire. Scattered showers developing in the afternoon, with some heavy and perhaps thundery showers late afternoon. Mainly light southwesterly winds. Maximum temperature 18 °C.

Tonight:

Rather cloudy with showers merging to give a longer spell of rain, but clearing eastwards in early hours. Clear spells then developing but some showers over Argyll and the isles. Minimum temperature 4 °C.

Thursday:

Bright or sunny spells, but showers becoming heavier and rather frequent, with risk of hail and thunder especially across Argyll and the Trossachs in afternoon. West or southwesterly winds freshening. Maximum temperature 17 °C.

Outlook for Friday to Sunday:

Sunny spells and further showers, still some heavy on Friday. Fewer showers Saturday. Mostly dry Sunday, rain later. Fresh winds on Friday, moderate southerly winds Saturday, turning southeasterly on Sunday.

Updated: 04:00 (UTC+1) on Wed 19 Jun 2019

On Sunday most places will start fine, bright, and dry and remain so through much of the day, especially in northern and eastern parts. Temperatures will recover to normal or be locally warm. However, for southwestern and western parts heavy rain and some strong winds should arrive during the day as low pressure moves towards the UK from the southwest. Rain is likely to spread northward and eastwards into Monday bringing unsettled weather more widely for the start of the next week. As we head into late June there are signs that high pressure may become more dominant, bringing a chance of settled and warm weather with temperatures mostly near normal. However, by early July we may see a return to greater influence from Atlantic again, although confidence is low.

Updated: 04:00 (UTC+1) on Wed 19 Jun 2019

During the first half of July predictability becomes very low, with mixed signals. However, at present the favored solution is for increased Atlantic mobility through this period, bringing spells of unsettled weather to the UK, generally associated with low pressure systems, interspersed by more settled anticyclonic regimes. This will likely mean that showers or longer spells of rain will affect northwestern parts of the UK, whilst the south and southeast will see more in the way of dry weather: although some thundery outbreaks are likely in the south and southeast as is usual this time of year. Temperatures through the period will probably near or slightly above average.

Updated: 04:00 (UTC+1) on Wed 19 Jun 2019