Carlisle (Cumbria) weather

Headline:

Cloudy today with heavy rain later.

Today:

Cloudy with some patchy light rain at first. Becoming mostly dry for a time with the odd glimmer of brightness developing, though outbreaks of heavier rain will feed north across the region in the afternoon. Breezy and mild. Maximum temperature 15 °C.

Tonight:

A cloudy evening with some outbreaks of rain. The rain and cloud will clear after midnight with clear spells and some showers during the early hours. Remaining fairly mild. Minimum temperature 8 °C.

Monday:

A rather cloudy and showery start. Some sunny spells developing during the morning, though with a scattering of showers. Lighter winds, and feeling pleasant when the sun appears. Maximum temperature 17 °C.

Outlook for Tuesday to Thursday:

A mix of sunshine and scattered heavy showers likely continuing, with some thundery downpours at times. Some longer spells of rain possible too. Turning colder from Thursday.

A colder interlude across all areas of the UK as northerly winds push south bringing showers, these wintry across hills in the N. Perhaps a more organised spell of rain and stronger winds across Scotland especially as we head into the weekend, meanwhile southern areas are likely to see much drier conditions than of late with some sunshine by day. Temperatures below average, especially in the north with some overnight frost possible along with some patchy mist and fog. Later in the weekend likely to turn more unsettled once more with outbreaks of rain and some stronger winds expected to return to the northwest of the UK especially, although the southeast may well hang on to drier conditions throughout.

A continuation of low pressure systems tracking in from the Atlantic is the most likely scenario for the rest of October. This means wet and windy weather at times, especially across England and Wales, but with a suggestion that Scotland and Northern Ireland may be more likely to see longer breaks in the weather, and more in the way of drier spells. It is possible that these drier conditions could be seen more widely later in the month as higher pressure further north extends southwards for a time. This would also bring an increased chance of overnight fog and frost. Temperatures will tend to be close to average overall in the south, but probably below average in the north and northwest.