How is our climate changing?
Climate change refers to a large-scale, long-term shift in the planet's weather patterns and average temperatures.
Since the last ice age, which ended about 11,000 years ago, Earth's climate has been relatively stable, with an average global temperature of about 14 °C. However, global temperatures have risen significantly over the 20th and 21st centuries, driven primarily by the rise in atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2). Since the Industrial Revolution, atmospheric CO2 has increased by over 40% to levels that are unprecedented in at least 800,000 years. This has caused warming throughout the climate system, and multiple indicators show evidence that our climate is changing.
The atmosphere and ocean have warmed, the amounts of snow and ice have diminished, sea level has risen, and the concentrations of greenhouse gases have increased. Our infographic below shows some of the major changes in the climate system following the latest State of the Climate report issued by the Bulletin of the American Meterological Society.
Global average surface temperature has increased by about 1 °C since the 1850s. Each of the last three decades has been successively warmer than any other preceding decade in the instrumental record, and 16 of the 17 warmest years on record have occurred since the year 2001. Check out our interactive global temperature visualisation, here. You can also see how global average temperature has changed each year since 1850 in the video below:
Observations show that rainfall has increased in the mid-latitudes of the northern hemisphere since the beginning of the 20th century. There are also changes between seasons in different regions. For example, the UK's summer rainfall is decreasing on average, while winter rainfall is increasing. There is also evidence that heavy rainfall events have become more intensive, especially over North America. Longer-term records of rainfall are needed for some areas to resolve any trends from natural variability.
Changes in nature
Changes in the seasons (such as the UK spring starting earlier, autumn starting later) are bringing changes in the behaviour of species, for example, butterflies appearing earlier in the year and birds shifting their migration patterns.
Sea level rises
Since 1900, global mean sea level has risen by more than 20 cm. The rate of sea-level rise has increased in recent decades: from around 1.7 mm per year over the last century, to 3.3 mm per year since the early 1990s.
Glaciers all over the world - in the Alps, Rockies, Andes, Himalayas, Africa and Alaska - are melting and the rate of shrinkage has increased in recent decades.
Arctic sea-ice has been declining since the late 1970s, reducing in extent by about 4%, or 0.6 million square kilometres (an area about the size of Madagascar) per decade. The summer minimum Arctic sea ice extent has decreased by 13.3% per decade since 1979. At the same time Antarctic sea-ice has been more stable, though most areas have been at very low levels since autumn 2016. Read more in our sea ice briefings.
The Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets, which between them store the majority of the world's fresh water, are both shrinking at an accelerating rate.
- Climate & Us: A place to talk about the challenges and opportunities
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- Our changing world - Global indicators (PDF 684 KB)
- How can we limit warming (PDF 100 KB)
- Observed changes in extremes (PDF 1.24 MB)
- Dangerous climate thresholds (PDF 2.04 MB)
- Observations of global sea level rise and the future (PDF 624 KB)