Upper Stoke weather

Headline:

Early rain easing but thunderstorms possible.

Today:

After a damp start with grey skies it will become brighter through the morning. There will be some sunshine, however, thunderstorms will be possible in the east. Maximum temperature 20 °C.

Tonight:

Any lingering showers will ease and it will become dry by the late evening. After clear spells overnight, cloud will build through the early hours though, with spots of rain. Minimum temperature 8 °C.

Thursday:

There will be sunny spells and scattered showers through the day. Some of the showers will be heavy, and it will be breezy. Maximum temperature 18 °C.

Outlook for Friday to Sunday:

Friday and Saturday will be dry and sunny. However, after a sunny start to Sunday, cloud will build from the southwest, perhaps with heavy rain later.

Updated: 04:00 (UTC+1) on Wed 19 Jun 2019

On Sunday most places will start fine, bright, and dry and remain so through much of the day, especially in northern and eastern parts. Temperatures will recover to normal or be locally warm. However, for southwestern and western parts heavy rain and some strong winds should arrive during the day as low pressure moves towards the UK from the southwest. Rain is likely to spread northward and eastwards into Monday bringing unsettled weather more widely for the start of the next week. As we head into late June there are signs that high pressure may become more dominant, bringing a chance of settled and warm weather with temperatures mostly near normal. However, by early July we may see a return to greater influence from Atlantic again, although confidence is low.

Updated: 04:00 (UTC+1) on Wed 19 Jun 2019

During the first half of July predictability becomes very low, with mixed signals. However, at present the favored solution is for increased Atlantic mobility through this period, bringing spells of unsettled weather to the UK, generally associated with low pressure systems, interspersed by more settled anticyclonic regimes. This will likely mean that showers or longer spells of rain will affect northwestern parts of the UK, whilst the south and southeast will see more in the way of dry weather: although some thundery outbreaks are likely in the south and southeast as is usual this time of year. Temperatures through the period will probably near or slightly above average.

Updated: 04:00 (UTC+1) on Wed 19 Jun 2019