Blackhope Scar (Scottish Borders) weather

Headline:

Rather cloudy with outbreaks of rain, occasionally heavy later

Today:

Some brighter spells possible across the Lothians, but generally a cloudy day with outbreaks of mainly light rain. However later this afternoon a band of more persistent, occasionally heavy, rain is expected to spread northeast. Maximum temperature 15 °C.

Tonight:

Cloudy this evening with occasionally heavy rain. Drier conditions with clear spells reach Dumfries and Galloway towards midnight and the rest of the area overnight. Rain returns to Galloway later. Minimum temperature 5 °C.

Monday:

Dry bright start in the east but cloud and occasionally heavy rain in the west spreads northeast through the morning. Brighter conditions with occasionally heavy showers follow in the afternoon. Maximum temperature 16 °C.

Outlook for Tuesday to Thursday:

Rather cloudy with showers or, especially in east, longer spells of occasionally heavy rain, through Tuesday and Wednesday. Brighter Thursday, with showers in east, but colder as winds turn northerly.

The forecast period looks most likely to be mostly unsettled, with frequent bouts of wind and rain associated with areas of low pressure. There remains a threat of ex-Hurricane Kirk bringing very wet and windy conditions to some parts of the UK, especially the south, although the centre of this system looks most likely to track across northern France. Scotland and Northern Ireland are more likely to turn colder with showers from Wednesday, the colder weather (perhaps some snow on Scottish mountains) then gradually working its way south by the end of the week. Perhaps turning a little more settled for some areas as we head into next weekend, although detail by this stage is very low confidence.

A continuation of low pressure systems tracking in from the Atlantic is the most likely scenario for the rest of October. This means wet and windy weather at times, especially across England and Wales, but with a suggestion that Scotland and Northern Ireland may be more likely to see longer breaks in the weather, and more in the way of drier spells. It is possible that these drier conditions could be seen more widely later in the month as higher pressure further north extends southwards for a time. This would also bring an increased chance of overnight fog and frost. Temperatures will tend to be close to average overall in the south, but probably below average in the north and northwest.