Mullaghcloga (County Tyrone) weather

Headline:

Cloudy with outbreaks of rain, drier later in west

Today:

Cloudy with outbreaks of rain, the rain persistent and, especially in the south, heavy at times. Later this afternoon, drier conditions with sunny spells developing spread across Fermanagh and Tyrone. Fresh southeasterly winds easing. Maximum temperature 15 °C.

Tonight:

Outbreaks of rain across northern and eastern counties soon clears to leave the evening dry with clear spells. Overnight a narrow band of occasionally heavy rain pushes northeast. Minimum temperature 5 °C.

Monday:

Any remaining rain soon clearing to leave a bright day with sunny spells, although towards midday showers will develop and become heavy at times for the afternoon. Maximum temperature 16 °C.

Outlook for Tuesday to Thursday:

Rather cloudy with showers or longer spells of occasionally heavy rain through Tuesday and Wednesday. Drier and brighter on Thursday but colder as winds turn more northerly.

The forecast period looks most likely to be mostly unsettled, with frequent bouts of wind and rain associated with areas of low pressure. There remains a threat of ex-Hurricane Kirk bringing very wet and windy conditions to some parts of the UK, especially the south, although the centre of this system looks most likely to track across northern France. Scotland and Northern Ireland are more likely to turn colder with showers from Wednesday, the colder weather (perhaps some snow on Scottish mountains) then gradually working its way south by the end of the week. Perhaps turning a little more settled for some areas as we head into next weekend, although detail by this stage is very low confidence.

A continuation of low pressure systems tracking in from the Atlantic is the most likely scenario for the rest of October. This means wet and windy weather at times, especially across England and Wales, but with a suggestion that Scotland and Northern Ireland may be more likely to see longer breaks in the weather, and more in the way of drier spells. It is possible that these drier conditions could be seen more widely later in the month as higher pressure further north extends southwards for a time. This would also bring an increased chance of overnight fog and frost. Temperatures will tend to be close to average overall in the south, but probably below average in the north and northwest.