Abercraf weather

Headline:

Rain likely in the south and east later.

Today:

Much of Wales will be rather cloudy at first. Showery rain will reach southern areas from around midday and spread northeastwards later. The best of the sunshine will be in the northwest, where it will stay dry and become warm. Maximum temperature 18 °C.

Tonight:

The evening will be mostly dry but cloud will increase overnight. Rain is likely in the early hours, perhaps heavy at times, particularly in the southeast. Minimum temperature 11 °C.

Wednesday:

Any early rain will gradually clear leaving warm sunny spells for the afternoon. One or two showers are possible in the afternoon but most people will avoid these. Maximum temperature 18 °C.

Outlook for Thursday to Saturday:

It will be breezy and less warm on Thursday with sunshine and a few showers. Friday and Saturday will probably be dry with light winds and spells of warm sunshine.

Updated: 04:00 (UTC+1) on Tue 18 Jun 2019

On Sunday most places will start fine, bright, and dry and remain so through much of the day, especially in northern and eastern parts. Temperatures will recover to normal or be locally warm. However, for southwestern and western parts heavy rain and some strong winds should arrive during the day as low pressure moves towards the UK from the southwest. Rain is likely to spread northward and eastwards into Monday bringing unsettled weather more widely for the start of the next week. As we head into late June there are signs that high pressure may become more dominant, bringing a chance of settled and warm weather with temperatures mostly near normal. However, by early July we may see a return to greater influence from Atlantic again, although confidence is low.

Updated: 04:00 (UTC+1) on Tue 18 Jun 2019

During the first half of July predictability becomes very low, with mixed signals. However, at present the favored solution is for increased Atlantic mobility through this period, bringing spells of unsettled weather to the UK, generally associated with low pressure systems, interspersed by more settled anticyclonic regimes. This will likely mean that showers or longer spells of rain will affect northwestern parts of the UK, whilst the south and southeast will see more in the way of dry weather: although some thundery outbreaks are likely in the south and southeast as is usual this time of year. Temperatures through the period will probably near or slightly above average.

Updated: 04:00 (UTC+1) on Tue 18 Jun 2019