Abergavenny Castle (Monmouthshire) weather

Headline:

A rather cloudy day, though mostly dry.

Today:

A cloudy and damp start to the morning. Staying on the cloudy side for much of the day, though it'll become largely dry. A few glimmers of brightness possible, mainly in the west. Feeling cool under the cloud for most. Maximum temperature 14 °C.

Tonight:

A dry evening with fairly cloudy skies. Little change overnight, though a few spots of light rain or drizzle may develop over the hills during the early hours. Minimum temperature 8 °C.

Tuesday:

A fairly cloudy day is expected, with limited brightness. Some patchy light rain and drizzle will still be possible over the hills. Turning increasingly wet and windy through the evening. Maximum temperature 16 °C.

Outlook for Wednesday to Friday:

Wet and breezy on Wednesday, with rain turning heavy at times. Brighter on Thursday, ahead of further wind and rain moving in from the west during Friday. Temperatures above average.

The unsettled spell of weather, which is expected to develop during this coming week, will continue into next weekend and beyond. All regions are likely to have some rain at times, which could be heavy. However, most of the rain, showers and strong winds are likely to be in the northwest with southeastern areas more often dry and bright. Temperatures will be above average and probably feeling warm in the brighter spells in southern areas. Later in October, there is a chance of more settled conditions developing, particularly in southern and eastern areas but with temperatures falling closer to average and some overnight frost and fog. Given the time of year, fog could be slow to clear.

Potentially some wet and windy weather at first, especially in the northwest, but a trend towards more settled conditions is most favoured for late October as high pressure becomes increasingly dominant. This would bring the potential for frost and fog at night, and possibly large variations between daytime and overnight temperatures. Into early November, high pressure may become more centred to the northwest of the UK, resulting in a gradual trend towards more unsettled conditions, particularly across southern regions.