Abergavenny Castle weather

Headline:

Heavy rain for some this morning, brighter and showery later.

Today:

Outbreaks of locally heavy rain will spread across all parts by mid morning, with the heaviest rain in the far southwest. Brighter conditions will follow during the afternoon, with some heavy and thundery showers developing, especially in the east. Maximum temperature 22 °C.

Tonight:

Showers will continue throughout the night, and occasional rain may affect the southeast for a time late evening before clearing after midnight. Temperature holding in double figures for all. Minimum temperature 13 °C.

Saturday:

Scattered showers at first will ease for a time with sunny periods developing. The sunshine will however trigger further showers during the afternoon, these locally heavy and possibly thundery. Maximum temperature 23 °C.

Outlook for Sunday to Tuesday:

Dry with sunny periods Sunday, with some overnight rain in the north. Dry with sunny spells for most Monday and Tuesday, but breezy in the west. Increasingly warm and humid.

Updated: 04:00 (UTC+1) on Fri 19 Jul 2019

This period will tend to see a northwest to southeast split in the weather across the UK, with northwestern parts experiencing spells of rain, which could be heavy at times, as well as some periods of strong wind bringing a risk of coastal gales. By contrast, southern and southeastern parts of the UK should see much drier and warmer weather, which could be hot and rather humid at times, especially early to mid next week. Potential for thunderstorms to develop as any hot, settled weather breaks down from the west. Beyond that, the signals become more mixed although overall the northwest to southeast split will most probably continue. The south and southeast is likely to see some rain but it will be less frequent than in the northwest.

Updated: 04:00 (UTC+1) on Fri 19 Jul 2019

As we move into early August, the final month of the meteorological summer, confidence is low in the forecast with no one single weather pattern looking to dominate. As is often the case in summer, this could well mean plenty of fine, dry weather, interspersed with occasional rain or thundery outbreaks, leading to marked local variations in rainfall. Temperatures are likely to be above average, perhaps more especially in the south and west.

Updated: 04:00 (UTC+1) on Fri 19 Jul 2019