The Old Man of Coniston (Cumbria) weather

Headline:

Cloudy and rather breezy, with patchy rain turning heavier overnight.

Today:

A cloudy day across the north, with any sunshine confined to the coast. Patchy rain and drizzle lingering in the east and across the Pennines. Becoming increasingly breezy in the west and over high ground, but warmer than recent days. Maximum temperature 14 °C.

Tonight:

Cloudy and increasingly breezy this evening, particularly on the west coast and across the Pennines. Patchy rain arriving from the south turns persistent overnight with heavy outbreaks moving slowly north-eastwards. Minimum temperature 13 °C.

Wednesday:

Unsettled with heavy showers spreading slowly and rather erratically north-eastwards, with light winds bringing a risk of local flooding. Some drier, brighter interludes, and feeling warm in any sunshine. Maximum temperature 17 °C.

Outlook for Thursday to Saturday:

Dry and settled on Thursday with plenty of sunshine. Becoming cloudier and windier through Friday, with strengthening south-westerly winds pushing patchy rain across the area. Further heavy showers on Saturday.

This period is likely to start changeable and often unsettled but relatively mild, with rain or showers for most places. There is potential for a deep area of low pressure to develop to the west or northwest of the UK early in this period, bringing a spell of very strong winds and heavy rain, especially to parts of the west and north. Towards the latter part of October, there are signs that whilst northwestern areas may continue to feel the influence of areas of low pressure, further south pressure is expected to build, bringing more in the way of fine, settled conditions. With this comes an increasing chance of overnight frost and fog, with the latter perhaps persisting well into the day in some areas.

High pressure is likely to steadily become more influential around the turn of the month. This means plenty of dry weather to be had, but with the chance of overnight frost and fog becoming rather more widespread than in the days preceding this period. Some large fluctuations between daytime and nighttime temperatures are possible, with relatively mild days, where fog doesn't linger, and cold frosty nights. Towards mid-November, the area of high pressure may track towards the northwest, allowing a gradual trend towards colder and perhaps more unsettled conditions.