Black Fell (Cumbria) weather

Headline:

Heavy rain easing overnight then turning sunnier on Monday.

This Evening and Tonight:

A wet evening for most of the region with prolonged periods of heavy rain in places, perhaps giving some localised flooding. The rain easing to spells of lighter rain and drizzle overnight. Rather windy in coastal areas and turning cooler. Minimum temperature 10 °C.

Monday:

A generally cloudy morning with outbreaks of light rain and drizzle in places. Turning brighter by noon with sunny spells developing more widely through the afternoon. Breezy and feeling cooler. Maximum temperature 16 °C.

Outlook for Tuesday to Thursday:

Unsettled and feeling autumnal with rain spreading south on Tuesday followed by sunshine and showers on Wednesday and Thursday, these often heavy. Windy, especially at first and turning much cooler.

Many areas will be dry at first under a ridge of high pressure, although an increasing chance of cloud, rain and strengthening winds in at least northwestern areas by and during the weekend, with the best of any lengthy drier and brighter spells in southern and eastern parts. After a cool start to the period, temperatures will recover during the weekend as a westerly flow becomes established. While confidence is low, by the middle of next week there are signs that high pressure may become increasingly influential on the weather across the UK, and potentially becoming rather warm in places. That said, some rain or showers are still possible, more especially in the south and/or far northwest.

The focus for wetter weather overall is more likely to return to north and especially northwestern areas, whilst southern and eastern areas have a greater chance of being drier relative to earlier in the month. Temperatures are likely to be around average overall, though with greater potential for brief spells of warm weather in the south.