Sunny spells and showers on Thursday. Heavy rain on Friday.
Dry and largely sunny at first but showers soon developing, more frequent over the western hills. A breezy day otherwise though feeling warm in sheltered areas, particularly in any spells of sunshine. Maximum temperature 21 °C.
Wind easing and showers dying away during the evening, leading to a dry and largely clear night, with perhaps some mist or shallow fog patches in prone areas around dawn. Minimum temperature 12 °C.
Increasingly cloudy and breezy on Friday, with rain spreading eratically northeast, heavy at times. Some brighter spells later in the afternoon, along with isolated but heavy, perhaps thundery showers. Maximum temperature 20 °C.
Outlook for Saturday to Monday:
A warm period. Bright, dry initially on Saturday, but some heavy, slow-moving and perhaps thundery showers later. Dry and largely sunny thereafter. Becoming breezy on Monday, and perhaps locally cloudy.
UK long range weather forecast
This period will tend to see a northwest to southeast split in the weather across the UK, with northwestern parts experiencing spells of rain, which could be heavy at times, as well as some periods of strong wind bringing a risk of coastal gales. By contrast, southern and southeastern parts of the UK should see much drier and warmer weather, which could be hot and rather humid at times, especially early to mid next week. Potential for thunderstorms to develop as any hot, settled weather breaks down from the west. Beyond that, the signals become more mixed although overall the northwest to southeast split will most probably continue. The south and southeast is likely to see some rain but it will be less frequent than in the northwest.
As we move into early August, the final month of the meteorological summer, confidence is low in the forecast with no one single weather pattern looking to dominate. As is often the case in summer, this could well mean plenty of fine, dry weather, interspersed with occasional rain or thundery outbreaks, leading to marked local variations in rainfall. Temperatures are likely to be above average, perhaps more especially in the south and west.