Shap (Cumbria) weather

Headline:

Heavy rain gradually clearing. Turning drier in the south.

Today:

A damp start with heavy and persistent rain, gradually moving its way northwards. Feeling rather cool underneath the cloud and rain. Turning drier from the south during the afternoon with some warmer bright spells developing. A slight breeze. Maximum temperature 19 °C.

Tonight:

Patchy rain affecting Cumbria this evening, elsewhere though drier with some late spells of sunshine. Remaining dry overnight with occasional clear spells developing, although cloudier in the east. Minimum temperature 11 °C.

Wednesday:

A mixture of bright or sunny spells and scattered showers, perhaps with longer spells of rain later. Feeling pleasant in any sunshine, and given the light winds. Maximum temperature 20 °C.

Outlook for Thursday to Saturday:

Changeable with sunny spells and showers, or longer spells of rain. Showers may be heavy at times. Still warm where you catch the sunshine, though feeling cooler than last week.

Updated: 05:00 (UTC+1) on Tue 14 May 2024

Changeable with showers developing by day across the UK through the end of the week and over the weekend. The heaviest showers and greatest risk of thunderstorms across southern parts. Temperatures generally around or just a little above average, though with winds tending to be light, still feeling warm in sunnier areas. Over the weekend there are signs that showers may start to ease across the north with drier, more settled conditions probably becoming established for a time here. Confidence lowers into the following week with signals mixed. On balance a continuation of the showers in the south seems most likely, with the north continuing to see the best of any drier weather. Temperatures probably remaining a little above average.

Updated: 15:00 (UTC+1) on Mon 13 May 2024

Signals during this period are weak and offer limited guidance beyond climatology. Similar weather conditions to those of the preceding few days are most likely to characterise this period to the end of May; a mixture of unsettled periods with rain and showers and settled interludes in-between. By early June, the chances of above and below average rainfall are evenly balanced. There is a slightly higher likelihood of above average temperatures compared with below average temperatures, such that the chance of hot spells, although still very small, is slightly higher than normal too.

Updated: 16:00 (UTC+1) on Mon 13 May 2024