Helen's Bay weather

Headline:

Bright start but occasionally heavy rain spreading east

Today:

A dry, bright start but cloud increasing from the west brings outbreaks of rain to western counties by mid-morning. The rain edges east this afternoon becoming heavy and persistent at times, especially across western and southern parts. Strengthening southerly winds. Maximum temperature 20 °C.

Tonight:

A cloudy evening with outbreaks of, especially in the west, occasionally heavy rain. The rain becomes lighter and patchier overnight and increasingly confined to northern counties as winds turn southwesterly. Minimum temperature 14 °C.

Monday:

Any rain in north soon clearing then a dry day with some good spells of warm or very warm sunshine developing. However it will be breezy with fresh southwesterly winds. Maximum temperature 24 °C.

Outlook for Tuesday to Thursday:

Mainly dry with sunny spells on Tuesday. Overnight thundery rain soon clears Wednesday morning with sunny spells and showers developing. Rather cloudy Thursday with rain or thundery showers. Warm throughout.

Updated: 04:00 (UTC+1) on Sun 21 Jul 2019

A cold front is likely to make some progress eastwards across the UK on Thursday, with the potential for heavy showers and thunderstorms. Some hot or very hot conditions may persist in the east ahead of this, especially in the southeast. Into the weekend, confidence falls low, but following the cold front, fresher conditions will be the most likely. A northwest to southeast split will be the most likely scenario. The northwest is likely to see further spells of rain and strong winds at times, with temperatures near or a little below average. The south and southeast are likely to see localised heavy rain, with thunderstorms possible, but it will stay warm or very warm into the start of August.

Updated: 04:00 (UTC+1) on Sun 21 Jul 2019

As we move into early August, the final month of the meteorological summer, confidence is low in the forecast with no one single weather pattern looking to dominate. It is most likely that low pressure to the north and northwest of the UK will give further rise to showers or longer spells of rain in the northwest, with the better chance of drier weather in the southeast. Temperatures will likely be above average, perhaps mostly in western and southern areas. However, confidence falls as we head through August.

Updated: 04:00 (UTC+1) on Sun 21 Jul 2019