Red Pike (Cumbria) weather

Headline:

Largely cloudy and breezy tonight.

This Evening and Tonight:

Some clear intervals this evening, though cloud gradually increasing from the west to bring the odd patch of light rain overnight, mainly to Irish Sea coasts. Rather windy and mild. Minimum temperature 12 °C.

Sunday:

Rather cloudy with patchy rain, though a more organised band of showers arriving from the west later in the afternoon. Winds easing, but still occasionally gusty in heavy downpours. Maximum temperature 17 °C.

Outlook for Monday to Wednesday:

A mixture of sunshine and showers, the showers sometimes heavy and possibly thundery, accompanied by brisk winds at times too. A chance of some more persistent rain developing mid week.

The forecast period looks most likely to be mostly unsettled, with frequent bouts of wind and rain associated with areas of low pressure. There remains a threat of ex-Hurricane Kirk bringing very wet and windy conditions to some parts of the UK, especially the south, although the centre of this system looks most likely to track across northern France. Scotland and Northern Ireland are more likely to turn colder with showers from Wednesday, the colder weather (perhaps some snow on Scottish mountains) then gradually working its way south by the end of the week. Perhaps turning a little more settled for some areas as we head into next weekend, although detail by this stage is very low confidence.

A continuation of low pressure systems tracking in from the Atlantic is the most likely scenario for the rest of October. This means wet and windy weather at times, especially across England and Wales, but with a suggestion that Scotland and Northern Ireland may be more likely to see longer breaks in the weather, and more in the way of drier spells. It is possible that these drier conditions could be seen more widely later in the month as higher pressure further north extends southwards for a time. This would also bring an increased chance of overnight fog and frost. Temperatures will tend to be close to average overall in the south, but probably below average in the north and northwest.